To have an open, curious and challenging mindset which lets you systematically collect your own observations and use them to find new patterns.
Future Navigator’s definitions
To observe and listen to the world around you with curiosity and an open mind. To question the meaning behind prejudices, basic assumptions and behavior. Being incredibly good at seeking out irritation, enduring frustration and accommodating complexity. Dare to ask the silly, quirky, provocative and funny questions that no one else asks.
The practical application of methodological curiosity: when observations are gathered, defined, and shared through test, pictures and/or sound.
To bring different trends into play and to both critically and constructively assess how their consequences relate to one’s life, field of business, and desires for the future.
A visual overview of your future where you map hard and soft trends to find out what you must create, what you must stop doing, and what new skills to train in order to achieve the desired success.
Zooon is a tool that works as your very own personal compass. Here you and your buddy translate the BIG future to YOUR Future. Zooon makes the future into a habit – a tangible partner and companion, instead of something abstract and unknown to scare your kids with.
Don’t hold back on your hindsight-inspired wisdom. Backcasting is any history teacher’s hot dream. Together we dissect a historical event to discuss the hard trends, the soft trends, the critical game-changer, who identified the consequences first, what happened to that person, what was destroyed and what was created, who won and who lost.
During forecasting, trends are sorted in hard and soft trends, and new contexts are put in play according to one’s existing challenges. One can explore the consequences of past and current decisions, evaluate blind spots, and discover where increased investment will bring future advantages.
Ideas don’t just appear automatically. Ideas must be created. With future based ideation you use tomorrow’s opportunities to systematically create good ideas in a 3-stage rocket that combines new perspectives with value creation and reality checks. Future-based ideation is especially helpful in the early phase of an innovation project.
A method for analyzing the speed with which a trending innovation is either rejected or adopted. The usual adoption of an innovation in a culture used to follow a normal distribution curve: the innovators introduce something radically new. The first to jump aboard are called “early adopters.” To gain success the innovation must win over the “early majority”, after which the “late majority” follows. The innovation becomes mainstream when even the most difficult-to-convince group, the “laggards”, start buying into the trend. A lot of innovations fall into the cleft between “early adopters” and the “early majority”. Sony’s MiniDisc is a good example. It was superior to the CD in many ways, but it never got a hold of the early majority. For most, this gradual tale of adoption is in the past. The shape has gone from a normal distribution to a shark-fin of instantaneous mass-adoption.
A graph that shows the dominant and entirely traditional way of evaluating trends, when they first become apparent: vi overestimate them in the short run, and underestimate them in the long run. It’s entirely normal to fall in love and get swept away – think of all the wild investments when the Internet started getting big. That’s how bubbles form. A hype always crashes, and the ones that lose the most, are the ones that lost their senses and got dragged along by the excitement. The following phase is an aversion to the previous infatuation, which results in a blindness to how much the trend is evolving.